David here.
I’ve been doing some thinking.
We, the small, but coordinated group of traders here, have done pretty good job last few days (to say the least).
We have caught downside move from Oct 21st, we did not get shaken off on retest of high on 10/26 (kudos to those who did not resist that latest contagious disease commonly known as “Mad Russian”), we foresaw that vicious bounce on 10/29 (some made extra coin that day and reshorted into close) – all overall this is probably as clean as it gets.
But now we are craving for more, more…and the truth is – we have very limited immediate downside, we might have some upside, but unless current situation will not play out by itself – no matter how hard we think of it – odds are not in our favor in terms of R/R to push it as hard as some of us want to push it now.
As you see (SPY) and (QQQQ) completed or completing sequence down and either already or about to be in abc magnitude of which is as much a secret for me as for anyone else’s. (UUP) already completed (and “locked”) entire down sequence with current move up being abc of quite extended proportions. SO, wherever you look – everywhere there are the signs of “looking for direction” and I don’t want to try to predict what is not yet there.
Below are daily/weekly SPY to refresh some levels
Nov 3rd 5:10AM EST – here is another slight melt down in the making